Coach Dave Joerger: Offensive History and Expectations

May 10, 2016; Sacramento, CA, USA; Sacramento Kings head coach Dave Joerger during a press conference at the Sacramento Kings XC (Experience Center). Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports
May 10, 2016; Sacramento, CA, USA; Sacramento Kings head coach Dave Joerger during a press conference at the Sacramento Kings XC (Experience Center). Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports /
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Summary

Coach Dave Joerger’s win/loss record and coaching history speak for itself.  3 years as Head Coach of the Memphis Grizzlies winning almost 60% of his regular season games and making the playoffs every season.  I do not doubt his coaching ability because he clearly is well-equipped in that area.

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His Grizzlies teams were never run and gun or 3 point shooting teams.  They ranked no better than 26th in either category during any of his 3 NBA seasons as head coach.  He may bend that philosophy slightly to fit the Kings roster better, but I do not see him making a seismic shift in his offensive system.  Expect the Kings to be middle of the pack in pace and around 20th in 3 point attempts.

If you like to view advanced metrics, I suspect Joerger’s Kings to rate about the middle of the road in offensive rating and true shooting percentage.  Joerger’s teams have historically struggled more in true shooting percentage and I suspect that trend will continue.

Overall, you will not see the Kings leading the NBA in pace again this season unless Coach Joerger makes a massive shift in philosophies.  I suspect the Kings to slow down and be more ball control on offense this season.  It will be interesting to see if that leads this Kings squad to be more effective or less so.  I will be monitoring their pace closely early in the season and look forward to seeing the cascading effects that pace has on the Kings offense.  Here is to hoping the Kings are up there in pace and even more effective on offense this season with their recent additions.