This metric gives Kings fans another reason to be excited about Keegan Murray

Apr 19, 2024; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Sacramento Kings forward Keegan Murray (13) arrives at the arena before a play-in game of the 2024 NBA playoffs against the New Orleans Pelicans  at Smoothie King Center. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 19, 2024; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Sacramento Kings forward Keegan Murray (13) arrives at the arena before a play-in game of the 2024 NBA playoffs against the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports / Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports
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Frequent readers of A Royal Pain know that I am extremely high on Keegan Murray. But just in case you didn't know, I think Murray has the juice to become one of the best role players in the league, and if that happens next year, it changes everything for the Sacramento Kings' short-term and long-term ceiling.

Well, CraftedNBA – one of the best NBA websites out there – has a tool that should make Kings fans even more excited about Murray's potential for next season.

On the website, there is a historical similarity application that allows people to compare a player's season to all player seasons dating back to 1978. The application generates the player seasons that are most similar to them offensively and the ones most similar to them defensively.

What Does The Application Have to Say About 2023-24 Keegan Murray?

When you run Murray's performance from last year through the tool, there is one particularly eye-popping name.

According to this database, the season that is the second-most similar to the one Murray just had on offense is the one had by Lauri Markkanen in 2021-22. If you'll recall, that was the season before Markkanen's huge breakout campaign with the Utah Jazz in 2022-23 (the year he was named an All-Star). Could this be a harbinger that Murray is due for a massive leap next season?

Now, it is worth noting that this is just one piece of the analysis puzzle. There are variables that make it harder for Murray to reach Markkanen's offensive ceiling (although Murray has a higher defensive ceiling). For instance, Murray isn't as big, as good of a shooter, or as good of an interior play finisher as Markkanen.

Statistic

Murray

Markkanen

Height

6'8

7'0

3-Point %

35.8%

39.9%

Dunks Per Game

0.9

1.4

Still, for the Kings to become a truly dangerous team, they don't need Murray to be an All-Star next year. They need him to be more like a top 50 player. So, even if he doesn't take the same leap that Markkanen took between 2021-22 and 2022-23, as long as it's a sizable one, they should be in a good spot.

As an aside, I also find it funny that Murray's season was so similar to not one but two players that the Kings have been rumored to be interested in trading for in Markkanen and Cameron Johnson. It just goes to show how sought-after great shooters (with size) are!

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