Predicting the contract of Kevon Looney in free agency

Apr 16, 2024; Sacramento, California, USA; Golden State Warriors forward Kevon Looney (5) chases down a loose ball in front of Sacramento Kings center Alex Len (25) in the third quarter during a play-in game of the 2024 NBA playoffs at the Golden 1 Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
Apr 16, 2024; Sacramento, California, USA; Golden State Warriors forward Kevon Looney (5) chases down a loose ball in front of Sacramento Kings center Alex Len (25) in the third quarter during a play-in game of the 2024 NBA playoffs at the Golden 1 Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports | Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
2 of 3

Method #2: Cerebro Sports Global Search Tool

The website Cerebro Sports has a Global Search tool that allows you to compare players from different eras dating all the way back to 1980.

According to their database, there are 13 player seasons with similar statistical profiles to the one had by 2023-24 Looney. However, eight of those seasons occurred before 1990. Since it's difficult to find accurate salary data from that time, we'll eliminate those seasons from our analysis. We also won't look at Bam Adebayo's 2017-18 season because he was still on his rookie contract, and Looney is long past that.

With those added filters in mind, here are the four player seasons with similar statistical footprints and the percentage of the salary cap each of them was making during that season.

Player

Year

Age

% of Salary Cap

Bismack Biyombo

2023-24

31

≈ 3.7%

Antonio Davis

2003-04

35

≈ 29.4%

Fabrico Oberto

2007-08

32

≈ 6.5%

Zaza Pachulia

2012-13

28

≈ 9.0%

Looking at these four seasons, it seems like Biyombo's salary is the one that most accurately portrays Looney's current value. All these other players earned their paychecks at a time when this archetype (the not super skilled bruising big man) was more valuable. Also, if I'm being 100% honest, I have no idea how Antonio Davis was making 29.4% of the salary cap in 2003-04.

Anyway, 3.7% of the salary cap this season would be 5.2 million dollars. So, slightly above the BAE, but not by an amount that is insurmountable.

Schedule