Kings vs. Wizards NBA expert prediction and odds for Thursday, March 21 (Trust Sacramento's offense)

NBA betting preview, prediction and best bet for Kings-Wizards.

Mar 18, 2024; Sacramento, California, USA; Sacramento Kings forward Domantas Sabonis (10) reacts to a play.
Mar 18, 2024; Sacramento, California, USA; Sacramento Kings forward Domantas Sabonis (10) reacts to a play. / Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports

Sacramento has played its way out of the NBA’s Play-In Tournament this month. The Kings are 9-3 in March and have moved up to the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference. Sacramento opened a three-game road trip with a 123-89 win over Toronto on Wednesday and will finish a back-to-back Thursday in our nation’s capital against the lowly Wizards. 

There hasn’t been much to like from the lowly Wizards in recent play as Washington has dubiously leapfrogged Detroit for the NBA’s worst record. Washington won back-to-back games earlier this month, but couldn’t capture any momentum, and defense has been an issue as the Wizards have lost five straight, all by double digits. Can they hang within the double-digit spread Thursday as a home underdog? Here’s the betting breakdown of the cross-conference matchup with a best bet. 

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Kings vs. Wizards odds, spread and total

Kings vs. Wizards how to watch

  • Date: Thursday, March 21 
  • Game time: 7 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Capital One Arena
  • How to watch (TV): Bally Sports
  • Kings record: 40-28
  • Wizards record: 11-58 

Kings vs. Wizards injury report

Sacramento Kings

  • Kevin Huerter (shoulder): questionable 
  • Sasha Vezenkov (ankle): out
  • Trey Lyles (knee): out

Washington Wizards

  • Eugene Omoruyi (ankle): out
  • Marvin Bagley III (back): out
  • Landry Shamet (calf): out
  • Richaun Holmes (non-COVID illness): questionable
  • Tyus Jones (back): out
  • Deni Avdija (knee): questionable

Kings vs. Wizards key players to watch

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis: The double-double machine is coming off a triple-double (13 points, 17 rebounds, 10 assists) in Sacramento’s road win over Toronto on Wednesday. Sabonis, top-10 in the NBA in rebounding and assists while averaging 20 points per game, has scored 21 or more points in five of the last seven games and is shooting 57.1% from the field this month. 

Washington Wizards

Corey Kispert: With Washington’s lengthy injury report, Kispert is taking advantage of an increase in minutes and is averaging 12.4 points per game. The former first-round pick of the Wizards is shooting 42.4% from 3-point range this month and has scored 16-plus points in four of the last six games. 

Kings vs. Wizards prediction and pick

The Wizards are shorthanded with several players out for this matchup and are gearing up for the NBA Draft at this point. Washington has no home-court advantage to speak of with the worst ATS mark in the NBA at home this season (10-22). Even as a home underdog, the Wizards have lacked any fight, going 8-19 ATS.

The Wizards play at the fastest pace in the NBA but don’t make the most of their possessions, ranking No. 25 in offensive rating. Plus, injuries have plagued the Washington lineup and the different rotations haven’t gelled in an up-tempo scheme. The real issue is in Washington’s defense, which is the worst-rated defense in the NBA and gives up the most points in the league (124.2 points per game) both on the road and at home. 

Washington has allowed at least 127 points in each of its last four games and they’ll face a Sacramento offense that has put up 120-plus points in seven of its last 10 games. The Kings’ offense has traveled well, too, ranking 10th in the NBA in road scoring. They get a dream matchup Thursday against a shorthanded Wizards defense that hasn’t been able to get stops all year. Take Sacramento go over its posted team total. 

Game odds update periodically and are subject to change.