Kings vs. Heat NBA expert prediction and odds for Wednesday, Jan. 31

Jan 14, 2024; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA;  Sacramento Kings guard De'Aaron Fox (5) and center
Jan 14, 2024; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Sacramento Kings guard De'Aaron Fox (5) and center / Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Heat are in trouble, and the surging Kings travel to Miami at the right time.

Miami has dropped seven straight as the Kings, winners of four straight roll in, but this game is being lined as a near-coin flip, should we be concerned? Or should we back De'Aaron Fox and the Kings' potent offense to take advantage of the slumping Heat?

Here's my best bet for Wednesday's action from South Beach.

Kings vs. Heat Odds, Spread and Total

Heat vs. Kings Betting Trends

  • The Kings are 8-2 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • The Heat are 19-26-2 ATS this season
  • The Heat are 8-15 ATS at home this season
  • The Heat have gone UNDER in 27 of 47 games this season
  • The Kings have gone UNDER in seven of 10 games as an underdog

Kings vs. Heat Injury Reports

Kings Injury Report

  • Sasha Vezenkov - OUT

Heat Injury Report

  • Duncan Robinnson - OUT

Kings vs. Heat How to Watch

  • Date: Wednesday, January 31st
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM EST
  • Venue: Kaeseya Center
  • How to Watch (TV): Bally Sports SUN
  • Kings Record: 27-18
  • Heat Record: 24-23

Kings vs. Heat Key Players to Watch


De'Aaron Fox: Fox is enjoying a career year, shooting a career-best 38% from beyond the arc to contribute to a boosted scoring average of 27 points per game. He'll face a Miami defense that is league-average in January in hopes of handing the Heat another loss.


Bam Adebayo: The Heat are struggling, but Adebayo is still one of the best big men in the league, averaging a double-double this season and dishing out four assists. With a matchup against an elite offense like the Kings, Adebayo's incredible defense will be needed for Miami to snap its losing streak.

Kings vs. Heat Prediction and Pick

These are two teams trending in opposite directions, the Kings have won four straight, and the Heat have lost seven straight.

Miami's offense is stuck in the mud, 29th in January effective field goal percentage to go with its 5-10 record, and won't be able to take advantage of the Kings' pedestrian defense that grades out as 18th in points allowed per 100 possessions.

Meanwhile, Miami's defense has slid as well, league average this month (14th in points allowed per 100 possessions) and just 13th on the year. That's the big issue against Sacramento's high-octane offense which is seventh in effective field goal percentage.

I'm not standing in front of Sacramento at the moment, nor am I trying to catch the fall knife in Miami, who seem to be in for some more pain as the calendar flips to February.

Take the points with Sacramento.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Track Reed's bets here!