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Best NBA prop bets today for Mavericks vs. Kings (Target Domantas Sabonis)

Looking at the best prop bets to attack in the Dallas Mavericks’ road matchup Friday against the Sacramento Kings. 

By Shelby Dermer

Mar 25, 2024; Sacramento, California, USA; Sacramento Kings forward Domantas Sabonis (10) suffers a cut in his cheek.
Mar 25, 2024; Sacramento, California, USA; Sacramento Kings forward Domantas Sabonis (10) suffers a cut in his cheek. / Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports
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Two teams fighting for playoff positioning in the Western Conference will meet up Friday night for the second time in four days. 

Dallas, clinging to the No. 6 spot in the west, is surging having won five straight and nine of 10 overall. They are one-point underdogs Friday on the road against the Kings, which have won four of six, but are coming off a 132-96 beatdown by the Mavericks on Tuesday. Can they bounce back? 

Here are some prop bets to consider for the matchup. 

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Best NBA prop bets today for Mavericks vs. Kings

  • Domantas Sabonis OVER 19.5 points 
  • P.J. Washington UNDER 16.5 points+rebounds
  • De'Aaron Fox OVER 5.5 assists

Domantas Sabonis OVER 19.5 points

Despite falling one assist shy of a triple-double, Sabonis is coming off a struggling shooting night in Tuesday's lopsided loss to the Mavericks, finishing 3-of-10 from the field for 12 points. Sabonis, who is averaging 19.7 points per game this season, couldn't take advantage of a sub-par Dallas defense in that matchup.

Expect that to change in Friday's rematch. It's tough to buy the Mavericks' defensive performance Tuesday as anything other than a night where Sacramento just didn't have it.

The Kings shot less than 40% from the field against a Dallas defense that is bottom half of the league in effective field goal percentage (No. 19), defending shots from 2-point (No. 20) and 3-point (No. 18) range.

Dallas is also bottom 10 in the league down low, where Sabonis excels as a power forward shooting 60.4% from the field. Dallas is No. 23 in second-chance points allowed and No. 22 in permitting points in the paint. The former first-round pick bounces back on Friday.

P.J. Washington UNDER 16.5 points+rebounds

Washington was the benificary of Sacremento's brutal shooting night on Tuesday, grabbing a season-high 13 rebounds and finishing with his first double-double since November. Since the Kings are in a good position to bounce back on the offensive end, expect less of an output from Washington.

Washington is shooting only 43.6% from the field this season, a number that has dipped to 38.9% in March. The Kings are an above-average defense down low and prior to Tuesday's game, Washington fell short of this number of points+rebounds in eight of his previous 10 games.

De'Aaron Fox OVER 5.5 assists

If we're banking on a bounce-back offensive performance from the Kings, then Fox should see more of his passes to teammates eventually find the net Friday night. Fox averages 5.6 assists per game and has been a great passer over the last two months, averaging 5.8 dimes per night over 24 appearances.

Sacramento plays at the No. 12 pace in the NBA and the path is there for the Kings to get back to what they do best against the Mavericks. Dallas is No. 26 in fast-break points allowed this season and Fox helps Sacramento get back on track in a game with the second-highest total on the board for Friday.

Game odds update periodically and are subject to change.

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