Best NBA prop bets today for Pacers vs. Kings (Domantas Sabonis is on fire)

Breaking down the best prop bets for the Sacramento Kings in their matchup with the Indiana Pacers on Thursday night.

Sacramento Kings forward Domantas Sabonis (10).
Sacramento Kings forward Domantas Sabonis (10). / Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
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The Sacramento Kings are taking on an Indiana Pacers team that is banged up with injuries – including Tyrese Haliburton – and in a bit of a whirlwind after trading for Pascal Siakam. 

So, why not bet some Kings props?

This is a revenge matchup for Domantas Sabonis, and I have a play for him, De’Aaron Fox, and Keegan Murray in tonight’s game. 

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Pacers vs. Kings best NBA prop bets 

  • Domantas Sabonis to record a triple-double
  • Keegan Murray OVER 2.5 3-pointers made
  • De’Aaron Fox UNDER 9.5 assists and rebounds

Domantas Sabonis to record a triple-double

Since Dec. 31, Sabonis has picked up a triple-double in six of his last 10 games, including back-to-back contests. 

Now, he gets to take on the Pacers, who rank No. 1 in the NBA in offensive rating, but that also comes with a fast pace – No. 2 in the league. 

Indiana also ranks just 23rd in rebounding percentage and 27th in defensive rating. This is a dream matchup for Sabonis, who likely can use his strength to get anything he wants inside against Myles Turner and Jalen Smith. 

These odds have shrunk considerably from the team’s last game, but I still think Sabonis ends up recording another triple double. 

Keegan Murray OVER 2.5 3-pointers made

This is a great matchup for sharpshooter Keegan Murray, as the Pacers allow their opponents to shoot 38.0 percent from beyond the arc this season. 

Murray has made three or more shots from deep in five of his last seven games, and he’s averaging 2.5 made 3-pointers on 6.6 3-point attempts per game this season. 

I expect him to get free a few times, especially against an Indiana team that loves to get out and run.  

De’Aaron Fox UNDER 9.5 assists and rebounds

This may seem like a low number for De’Aaron Fox, but the Kings guard has failed to pick up 10 or more rebounds and assists in seven consecutive games. 

On the season, Fox is averaging 4.1 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game, but he’s seen his rebound chance shrink considerably as of late. 

Fox is averaging 8.2 potential rebounds per game on the season, but that number is down to just 5.8 per game over his last 10 matchups. 

The same can be said for his passing. Fox is averaging over 11 potential assists per game this season, but in his last 10 games that number has dipped to 9.7. 

Even in a game against a fast-paced team, Fox may be worth fading in this prop.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's NBA betting record here (futures included). You can also follow my daily plays on BetStamp here.