The Sacramento Kings are projected to win 21.5 games in 2026-2027, which is half a game less than what they won in 2025-2026. None of that matters right now. The rebuild is a long process that requires patience. The Kings might not win now, but the goal is to be dominant in the future.
As the offseason progresses, certain organizations put out projections of what the the next NBA season will look like. It feels kind of early, particularly when you consider that no team has fully settled their rosters at this point. Some, like the Kings, are probably close, but it's not official.
That doesn't stop some groups for putting win loss breakdowns out for the NBA almost three months before the season even starts. In the case of the Kings, they are projected to win 21.5 games while losing 60.5 games. It's a strange projection for a couple of reasons.
First, how do teams win or lose half a game? Sacramento can either get 22 and 60 again or 21 and 61. They're not going to get 21.5 wins. The other issue is that the Kings' roster has had some big changes over the last year, creating a team that no one has seen play on an NBA court.
Numbers aren't everything for the Kings
As it stands right now, no one knows how this new roster will work together and how many wins they'll pick up. They could easily win more games than last season. While this obviously isn't preferable, the Kings could also end up losing more games. All that matters right now is the rebuild.
I've said it before and I'll say it again: this rebuild is a long-term project, one that requires patience. There isn't going to be a sudden, sustainable improvement overnight. It will be a few seasons before the Kings start gowing their win record above where it is right now.
If the Kings stick to their plan, and take the long view of the situation, there is success waiting for them at the end of it. That being said, fans would like to see them pick up more wins this season. It's good for team morale as well as keeping the Sactown faithful on board.
Everyone just has to keep in mind that the number of wins this season do not define the success of the Kings' rebuild. Even if 21.5 wins somehow ends up being accurate, that's not the end of Sacramento's efforts to improve this team. It's just another step on the path.
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