Michael Carter-Williams for Ben McLemore? Who Should the Kings Take?

Nov 25, 2015; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Milwaukee Bucks guard Michael Carter-Williams (5) during the game against the Sacramento Kings at BMO Harris Bradley Center. Sacramento won 129-118. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 25, 2015; Milwaukee, WI, USA; Milwaukee Bucks guard Michael Carter-Williams (5) during the game against the Sacramento Kings at BMO Harris Bradley Center. Sacramento won 129-118. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
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Dec 5, 2015; Houston, TX, USA; Sacramento Kings guard Ben McLemore (23) dribbles against the Houston Rockets in the second half at Toyota Center. Rockets won 120-111. Mandatory Credit: Thomas B. Shea-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 5, 2015; Houston, TX, USA; Sacramento Kings guard Ben McLemore (23) dribbles against the Houston Rockets in the second half at Toyota Center. Rockets won 120-111. Mandatory Credit: Thomas B. Shea-USA TODAY Sports

Advanced Metric

The first advanced metric we will view is box score plus/minus and value over replacement player (VORP).  Carter-Williams has a career average negative 1.2 offensive box score plus/minus and positive 0.7 defensive.  McLemore’s career average offensive is negative 0.9 and negative 1.3 defensive.  Carter-Williams rates significantly better in VORP with a career total of positive 2.3 compared to McLemore’s negative 0.3.

For a different viewpoint let us examine win shares.  Carter-Williams cumulative offensive win shares for his career are negative 3.3, but he produced a positive 6.6 defensive win shares.  McLemore has created positive 1.2 offensive win shares and positive 2.4 defensive win shares for his career.  Win shares per 48 minutes (0.100 is league average) rates both players very similar with Carter-Williams at 0.025 and McLemore at 0.027.  All stats and advanced metrics courtesy of Basketball-Reference.

The advanced metrics are very much a mixed bag.  VORP rates Carter-Williams significantly better, but win shares per 48 minutes rates McLemore as the slightly better player.

Schedule